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What a Low 2026 Social Security COLA Means for You

It’s a feeling many older adults know well: you open your mail or check your bank account, and the numbers just don’t seem to stretch as far as they used to. The rising cost of groceries, utilities, and healthcare is a constant pressure. Now, there are growing concerns about what next year will bring. With headlines warning that the social security cola in 2026 may be low, affecting millions of retirees, we want to provide a detailed summary of what these economic shifts really mean for you. This isn’t just about numbers on a page; it’s about your peace of mind and financial security.

  Economic uncertainty isn’t just something you hear about on the news—it’s something many older adults are feeling in their day-to-day lives. Whether it’s the rising price of groceries, changes in Medicare coverage, or the stress of stretching a fixed income, the financial landscape in 2025 is creating new challenges for seniors across the country.  

Table of Contents


  • The Rising Cost of Everyday Living
  • What’s Changing With Social Security and Medicare
  • Why Housing Stability Is Getting Harder
  • Rethinking Retirement and Work
  • Food Insecurity and Medication Trade-Offs
  • Why Senior Counseling Matters More Than Ever
  • FAQ

 

The Rising Cost of Everyday Living


It’s no secret that the cost of living is still climbing in 2025—and for older adults living on fixed incomes, every dollar feels heavier. While inflation has slowed compared to 2022 and 2023, the prices of essentials haven’t gone back down. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, groceries are up 2.6% this year, and rent continues to rise in most areas, with some cities seeing increases of over 5%. For seniors, this often means stretching Social Security checks further than ever. Medications, utility bills, and even basic items like paper towels and cleaning supplies now eat up more of the budget. What used to feel like enough now barely covers the basics. If you’ve found yourself second-guessing purchases at the store or avoiding outings because of gas prices, you’re not alone. More older adults are quietly cutting back, not because they want to, but because they have to.  

What’s Changing With Social Security and Medicare


In 2025, Social Security benefits are increasing, but not by as much as many older adults had hoped. The cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) is 2.5%, which translates to an average increase of around $50 to $60 per month for most beneficiaries. While any increase helps, it’s falling short of matching the true rise in costs for essentials like rent, food, and healthcare. At the same time, Medicare is getting more expensive, and that’s where many seniors are really feeling the squeeze. The standard Medicare Part B premium has increased to $185.00 per month, up from $174.70 in 2024. That’s more than $120 a year in added costs just for the premium. The annual deductible also rose to $257, up from $240 the year before. For someone on a fixed income, these increases add up quickly. It can mean putting off doctor visits, skipping medications, or cutting back on essentials like groceries or utilities just to keep up with health care. Beyond just the numbers, there are other changes affecting care:

  • Some Medicare Advantage plans have raised co-pays or reduced supplemental benefits like transportation, dental, or vision.
  • More provider networks are shifting, meaning some older adults are losing access to long-time doctors and specialists.
  • Prescription drug costs are still high for many, despite slow changes tied to the Inflation Reduction Act that are just beginning to take effect.

These changes can make an already complicated system feel even harder to navigate. And for many seniors, it’s not just frustrating, it’s exhausting. If your coverage has changed or if you’re unsure about what you’re paying for, you’re not alone. Free help is available through State Health Insurance Assistance Programs (SHIPs), which offer one-on-one guidance with comparing plans, reviewing drug coverage, and understanding Medicare rules.  

Projected 2026 Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA)

Looking ahead to 2026, many retirees are keeping a close eye on the next cost-of-living adjustment. While the final numbers aren’t set, early projections suggest another modest increase in Social Security benefits. According to AARP, this adjustment is intended to help benefits keep pace with inflation, but it’s often a double-edged sword. The extra income is certainly welcome, but it rarely tells the whole story. As we’ve seen in previous years, a higher COLA is often accompanied by rising costs in other areas, particularly healthcare. This can leave many seniors feeling like they’re taking one step forward and one step back, with any financial gains quickly absorbed by new expenses. The constant worry over whether your income will cover your bills can be a significant source of stress and anxiety.

Expected Rise in Medicare Part B Premiums

One of the most significant financial pressures for 2026 is the expected increase in Medicare Part B premiums. AARP reports that the standard monthly premium is projected to rise by nearly 10%, a substantial jump that will directly impact the net amount of Social Security checks. This increase can easily offset, or even exceed, the gains from the COLA for many beneficiaries. When healthcare costs rise faster than your income, it forces difficult decisions about your budget and care. The financial strain of managing these ever-increasing premiums can feel overwhelming, adding another layer of concern for those already navigating health issues. It’s important to remember that support is available for coping with the stress of illness, and individual teletherapy is a Medicare Part B covered service.

A New Temporary Tax Break for Retirees

On a more positive note, 2026 is expected to bring a new temporary tax deduction that could provide some relief. This change, highlighted by AARP, has the potential to lower or even eliminate federal taxes on Social Security benefits for many older adults. For those who have felt the squeeze of taxes on their fixed income, this could free up much-needed funds for daily living expenses, healthcare, or savings. While the exact impact will vary based on individual income levels, it represents a welcome acknowledgment of the financial challenges retirees face. This tax break could make a meaningful difference in your monthly budget, offering a bit more breathing room in a tight economic climate.

Changes for Beneficiaries Who Are Still Working

For older adults who continue to work while receiving Social Security benefits, 2026 will bring some important adjustments to earnings rules. These changes are designed to allow for higher earnings before benefits are affected, reflecting shifts in the modern workforce where more people are choosing to work past the traditional retirement age. Understanding these updates is key to maximizing your income without unintentionally reducing your Social Security payments. It’s a balancing act that requires careful planning, but these adjustments aim to make it a little easier for working beneficiaries to manage their finances and continue contributing their skills and experience.

Increased Earnings Limits

One of the key updates for 2026 is an increase in the earnings limit for those who have not yet reached full retirement age. AARP notes that the amount you can earn before your Social Security benefits are reduced will go up. This means you can take on more work or accept a higher-paying position without facing the same level of benefit deductions as in previous years. This change provides greater flexibility for those who need or want to supplement their retirement income, allowing them to keep more of their hard-earned money while still drawing from the benefits they’ve contributed to for decades.

Higher Taxable Income Cap

In addition to the earnings limit, the maximum amount of earnings subject to Social Security tax is also set to increase. In 2026, the taxable income cap will rise to $184,500. While this change primarily affects higher-income earners, it’s part of the broader financial adjustments that fund the Social Security system. For those still in the workforce and earning above the previous cap, this means a larger portion of their income will be subject to Social Security taxes. It’s an important figure to be aware of for financial planning, especially for those who are self-employed or in high-paying roles.

Concerns Over How COLA is Calculated

While the annual COLA is meant to protect the purchasing power of retirees, there is growing concern about whether the calculation method truly reflects the expenses of older adults. The formula used by the Social Security Administration has been a subject of debate for years, and recent changes in how economic data is collected are adding to the uncertainty. Many experts and advocacy groups worry that the current system underestimates the real-world costs seniors face, particularly for healthcare and housing. This discrepancy can lead to benefit adjustments that don’t keep up with actual living expenses, slowly eroding the financial security of millions.

Shifts in Data Collection

A significant point of concern stems from recent changes made by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in how it gathers inflation data. According to Kiplinger, these methodological shifts are raising questions about the accuracy of the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W), which is the index used to determine the COLA. The way data is collected for categories like housing, food, and transportation has been updated, and there are worries that these new methods might not fully capture the price increases that most heavily impact seniors, potentially leading to smaller and less accurate COLAs in the future.

The Risk of a Lower COLA

The primary risk associated with these data collection changes is that they could result in a lower COLA than what retirees genuinely need. Experts cited by Kiplinger are concerned that if the new data collection methods are less precise, the resulting inflation figures could be artificially low. For retirees on a fixed income, even a small discrepancy can have a significant impact over time. A COLA that doesn’t accurately reflect rising costs means a gradual loss of purchasing power, creating financial stress that can take a toll on your mental and emotional well-being. Learning new coping skills can be essential for managing this uncertainty.

Future Projections and Long-Term Issues

Beyond the immediate changes in 2026, there are larger, long-term questions about the future of Social Security that weigh on the minds of many current and future retirees. The financial health of the Social Security trust funds has been a topic of national conversation for years, with projections indicating that the system faces significant challenges in the coming decades. These long-range forecasts often create a sense of unease, as people wonder what the system will look like when they need it most. Addressing these issues will require thoughtful policy solutions to ensure the program remains a reliable source of support for generations to come.

Historical Context and Future Predictions

Looking at the long-term health of Social Security, reports from sources like Kiplinger paint a concerning picture. Projections suggest that if no changes are made, the program’s funds could be depleted in the next decade, potentially leading to a significant cut in benefits for all recipients. While this is a worst-case scenario that lawmakers are working to avoid, the possibility alone is enough to cause considerable anxiety. This uncertainty about the future makes it difficult for people to plan their retirement with confidence and underscores the need for proactive solutions to ensure the system’s long-term solvency.

The Debate Over Inflation Measures

A central part of the long-term debate is how inflation is measured for seniors. Many critics, as noted by 401k Specialist, argue that the CPI-W is not the right tool for the job because it reflects the spending habits of working-age people, not retirees. Older adults typically spend a much larger portion of their income on healthcare, a category where costs rise much faster than general inflation. Advocates have long pushed for the adoption of an experimental index called the CPI-E (Consumer Price Index for the Elderly), which would likely result in higher and more accurate COLAs, better protecting the financial stability of seniors.

Social Security Trust Fund Solvency

The solvency of the Social Security trust funds remains a critical issue. According to various reports, the combined trust funds are projected to be depleted sometime between 2032 and 2034. It’s important to understand that “depleted” does not mean the system will have no money; it will continue to collect revenue from taxes. However, at that point, ongoing revenue would only be able to cover a portion—around 77% to 80%—of promised benefits. This projected shortfall is what drives the ongoing discussions in Washington about how to reform the system to ensure it can meet its obligations to all beneficiaries for the long haul.

Why Housing Stability Is Getting Harder


Housing costs continue to climb, and older adults are being hit especially hard. Whether renting or owning, the financial pressure is real. Property taxes have increased in several states, utilities are higher due to rising energy costs, and landlords are raising rents in competitive markets. As of early 2025, the average rent for a one-bedroom apartment in the U.S. is over $1,300, a tough figure for anyone relying solely on Social Security. Some seniors are facing heartbreaking decisions: Do I stay in my home and fall behind on other bills? Do I move out of the community I’ve lived in for decades? Assisted living facilities are also raising prices, leaving those with mobility or health needs feeling even more stuck. If you’re feeling this pressure, it’s important to know that programs like Section 202 (Supportive Housing for the Elderly) still exist, though waitlists can be long. Many cities also offer senior tax relief, and a growing number of nonprofit programs provide support with utility bills or rent assistance.  

Rethinking Retirement and Work


More older adults are reentering the workforce—or delaying retirement altogether. A survey from AARP found that nearly 1 in 5 adults over 50 is still working, with many citing financial necessity over choice. That might mean taking on part-time retail work, offering caregiving for others, or exploring freelance and remote opportunities. While some enjoy the structure and social engagement, others feel like they never truly get to retire. The emotional toll of “unretiring” is often overlooked. There’s also a growing concern about drawing down retirement savings too quickly. With rising costs and market volatility, many are dipping into 401(k)s and IRAs just to stay afloat—an option that can affect long-term stability.

Programs and Support That Can Help

AARP Work & Jobs Resources: AARP offers free job boards, resume tools, interview prep guides, and information on age-friendly employers that actively hire older adults. BenefitsCheckUp: This free tool from NCOA helps older adults find assistance programs they might be missing—everything from Medicare Savings Programs to utility discounts. National Council on Aging on Reducing Monthly Expenses: NCOA goes over multiple tools to help reduce your monthly spending and a free budget tool to manage your finances.  

Food Insecurity and Medication Trade-Offs


Food insecurity among older adults is a growing concern, and while it doesn’t always look like outright hunger, it often means difficult choices—like buying cheaper, less nutritious food or skipping meals entirely to afford medications or utility bills. According to Feeding America, in 2022, an estimated 6.9 million seniors (ages 60+) and 4.9 million older adults (ages 50 to 59) experienced food insecurity. That’s nearly 12 million people over the age of 50 who didn’t have consistent access to enough food to maintain a healthy lifestyle. For many, the problem isn’t just about having food—it’s about having the right food. Fresh produce, protein, and heart-healthy options often cost more than processed alternatives. This creates a situation where older adults might have full pantries but still lack the nutrition they need to stay well. At the same time, out-of-pocket medication costs are climbing, especially for those not enrolled in Part D plans or who fall into the “coverage gap.” The heartbreaking reality? Many are splitting pills, skipping doses, or forgoing prescriptions entirely to save money. There’s help out there, but navigating it can be confusing. SNAP benefits (formerly food stamps) are now more accessible for seniors in many states. Organizations like Meals on Wheels provide more than just food, they offer wellness checks and connection. And drug manufacturers often have patient assistance programs to reduce medication costs.  

Why Counseling Matters More Than Ever


Behind every tough financial decision is a very real emotional cost. Worrying about money isn’t just about numbers—it affects your sense of control, identity, and safety. For seniors, this can trigger deep feelings of isolation, embarrassment, or fear. You might feel like a burden to your family or ashamed to admit you’re struggling. It’s common to withdraw from social activities, avoid phone calls, or pretend things are fine when they’re not. Over time, this can snowball into anxiety, depression, and a sense of helplessness. At Blue Moon Senior Counseling, we want you to know that these feelings are valid. Financial stress is real. You are not weak for feeling overwhelmed. Talking to someone about what you’re going through can help lift that weight and bring a sense of relief. Whether you need help coping with stress, talking through big decisions, or just want someone to listen, we’re here for you. Reach out to us today at 630-896-7160 or fill out our form here.  

Frequently Asked Questions


  • How much did Social Security increase in 2025?

The Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA) for Social Security in 2025 is 2.5%. While helpful, many seniors feel it doesn’t fully cover the rise in housing, food, and healthcare costs.

  • Can I still qualify for SNAP if I receive Social Security?

Yes, many seniors receiving Social Security can still qualify for SNAP benefits, especially if they have high medical or housing expenses. Eligibility varies by state, so check with your local office.

  • What should I do if I can’t afford my medications anymore?

Talk to your doctor about generic options and explore manufacturer assistance programs. Medicare’s Extra Help program may also reduce prescription costs if you qualify.

  • Is counseling really helpful for financial stress?

Absolutely. Financial stress can deeply impact your emotional health. Speak with one of our licensed therapists at Blue Moon Senior Counseling to help you manage anxiety, make clearer decisions, and feel more supported.

  • How do I know if Blue Moon Senior Counseling is right for me?

If you’re an older adult feeling overwhelmed, stressed, or struggling to adjust to life changes, our services are designed for you. We offer sessions virtually and accept many insurance plans, including Medicare.  

Coping with Financial Stress and Anxiety

Worrying about money is more than just a numbers game; it carries a heavy emotional weight. The constant stress of stretching a budget, making difficult choices at the grocery store, or fearing an unexpected bill can impact your sense of safety and control. For many older adults, this can lead to feelings of embarrassment, isolation, or even fear. It’s common to withdraw from friends and family or pretend everything is fine, but bottling up these feelings often allows them to grow into persistent anxiety and depression. Please know that you are not weak for feeling overwhelmed by financial stress. Acknowledging these feelings is the first step, and talking to someone who understands can provide immense relief and help you find a path forward.

Finding Accessible Mental Health Support

When you’re already dealing with financial strain, the thought of paying for mental health support can feel like another impossible hurdle. But getting help doesn’t have to be another source of stress. Support is often more accessible than you might think, especially with options designed specifically for older adults. The key is knowing where to look and understanding what resources are available to you. From therapy sessions you can attend from your living room to services covered by your existing health plan, there are practical ways to care for your emotional well-being without adding to your financial burden. Taking that step to find support is an investment in your own peace of mind.

The Role of Telehealth in Senior Care

One of the biggest advancements in accessible care is telehealth. For many seniors, getting to an appointment can be a challenge due to transportation, mobility issues, or simply not feeling well enough to leave the house. Telehealth therapy removes these barriers entirely. At Blue Moon Senior Counseling, we specialize in providing individual teletherapy, allowing you to connect with a licensed therapist through a simple phone call or video chat from the comfort and privacy of your own home. This approach makes it easier than ever to get consistent, confidential support without the added stress of travel, so you can focus completely on your well-being.

Using Medicare for Mental Health Services

Many people are surprised to learn that Medicare can help cover the cost of counseling. Mental health care is recognized as a vital part of your overall health, and services like therapy for anxiety, depression, grief, and coping with stress are often a Medicare Part B covered service. This means you can access professional support without worrying about high out-of-pocket costs. At Blue Moon, our senior counseling services are designed to work with your Medicare plan, ensuring that financial concerns don’t stand in the way of getting the help you deserve. It’s a crucial benefit that empowers you to prioritize your mental health.

Key Takeaways

  • Economic shifts directly affect your wallet: Modest Social Security adjustments often don’t keep pace with the rising costs of healthcare, housing, and groceries, which makes managing a fixed income genuinely more difficult.
  • Financial stress is an emotional issue, not just a practical one: The constant pressure of a tight budget can lead to anxiety, isolation, and depression; acknowledging these feelings is a crucial first step toward finding relief.
  • Support for your well-being is accessible: You don’t have to handle financial worries alone. Professional counseling can help you develop coping skills, and individual teletherapy is a convenient option that is often a Medicare Part B covered service.

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